Author Topic: The Covid timeline  (Read 3784 times)

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Online Ian

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The Covid timeline
« on: May 11, 2020, 03:27:02 pm »
The timeline for the virus is updating constantly. I'll try to keep this one up  to date.


In late December members of the Wuhan Institute of Virology and others reported and published a report on people with severe pneumonia who were admitted to the intensive care unit of the Wuhan Jin Yin-Tan Hospital at the beginning of the outbreak.

Dec 1China suspected first case emerges
Dec 27France suspected first case emerges
Dec 31China alerts WHO to new virus.
Jan 16Japan first case
Jan 17Thailand first case
Jan 22Macau and Hong Kong cases
Jan 23Study reveals a third of China’s patients require intensive care
Jan 24Boris Johnson misses first Cobra meeting; Japan, South Korea, and the United States confirm second cases
Jan 25Australia, Sri Lanka and Malaysia cases
Jan 27Leung warns true cases 10 times greater than reports
Jan 29Johnson misses second Cobra meeting. Germany and Brazil cases
Jan 30Tibet, Emirates, Finland, Singapore, France cases
Jan 30Trump warned of pandemic costing millions of US lives
Jan 31 NHS declares first ever ‘Level 4 critical incident’. government declines to join EU PPE scheme UK, Russia, Sweden, Spain and Canada cases.
Feb 5Johnson misses third Cobra meeting
Feb 12Boris Johnson misses fourth Cobra meeting
Feb 13Johnson misses conference call with European leaders
Feb 14Johnson goes away on holiday. Aides are told keeps Johnson’s briefing notes short or he will not read them.
Feb 18Johnson misses fifth cobra meeting.
Feb 29Johnson retreats to his country manor as NHS warns of ‘PPE shortage nightmare’
Mar 2Johnson attends his first Cobra meeting, declining another opportunity to join EU PPE scheme. Tells country “We are very, very well prepared.”
Mar 4Government halts daily updates on virus following a 70% spike in UK cases.
Mar 7Johnson joins 82,000 people at Six Nations match
Mar 9Ireland cancels St Patrick’s day parades; government says “No Rationale” for cancelling sporting events./td]
Mar 10Cheltenham takes place; more than a quarter of a million people attend
Mar 113,000 Atletico Madrid fans fly to Liverpool.
Mar 12Johnson states banning events such as Cheltenham will have little effect. Imperial study finds government’s plan is projected to kill half a million
Mar 13Premier League suspended, citing an absence of Government guidance.
Mar 13Britain is invited to join European scheme for joint purchase of ventilators, and refuses.
Mar 13Johnson lifts restrictions of those arriving from Coronavirus hot spots.
Mar 14 Stereophonics play to 5,000 people in Cardiff.
Mar 16Johnson suggests move to create more ventilators be called 'operation last gasp'.
Mar 19Hospital patients with Coronavirus returned to care homes prompting boom in virus cases in care homes.
Mar 20 Government states PPE shortage is “Completely resolved” In days,  the BMA reports an acute shortage in PPE
Mar 23UK Lockdown
Mar 26Having not joining EU ventilator scheme government then state uit was becuse they'd ‘missed the email’
Apr 1Evening Standard publishes that just 0.17% of NHS staff have been tested for the virus.
Apr 3UK death toll overtakes China
Apr 7Johnson moved to Intensive Care
Apr 16Flights bring 15,000 people a day into the UK - without virus testing.
Apr 17 Hancock says “I would love to be able to wave a magic wand and have PPE fall from the sky.” The UK has now missed 4 chances to join  EU’s PPE scheme.
Apr 21The Government fails to reach its target of face masks for the NHS, as it is revealed manufacturer's offers of help were met with silence. Instead millions of pieces of PPE are being shipped from the UK to Europe.
Apr 23Government announces testing kits for 10 million key workers. Orders run out within minutes as only 5,000 are made available.
Apr 25UK death toll from Coronavirus overtakes that of The Blitz.
Apr 30Johnson announces the UK has succeeded in avoiding a tragedy that had engulfed other parts of the world
May 1Government announces it has reached its target of 100,000 tests, althuogh most were only posted out
May 5The UK death toll becomes the highest in Europe.


This site shows a graphic which illustrates perfectly the number of deaths per country over time.


May11th: 283,387 deaths World Wide
 4,132,365  known Infections World Wide


Top Five countries by Cases:

US
UK
Spain
Italy
France

 







Nothing is so firmly believed as that which we least know.  ― Michel de Montaigne

Si hoc legere scis, nimis eruditionis habes.

Offline SteveH

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Re: The Covid timeline
« Reply #1 on: June 18, 2020, 10:33:48 am »
Interesting simulation showing the difference in county timelines.

Simulation shows Denbighshire's rise to become Wales' worst coronavirus hotspot
North Wales county was last to record an infection, but now has the highest proportion of cases

https://www.dailypost.co.uk/news/north-wales-news/simulation-shows-denbighshire-rise-become-18428522


Offline SteveH

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Re: The Covid timeline
« Reply #2 on: June 21, 2020, 02:55:12 pm »
Interesting article with graphs etc.

Tracking how coronavirus spread around Wales - and what it tells us
The true death toll in Wales is almost certainly significantly higher than reported by either Public Health Wales or the ONS

https://www.walesonline.co.uk/news/wales-news/tracking-how-coronavirus-spread-around-18459815

Offline SteveH

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Re: The Covid timeline
« Reply #3 on: June 30, 2020, 10:13:03 am »
Coronavirus: The story of Wales' 100 days of lockdown

Wales is now 100 days into lockdown after the outbreak of the global coronavirus pandemic.

It was 23 March when Prime Minister Boris Johnson - and his counterparts in Wales, Scotland and Northern Ireland - announced unprecedented restrictions.

Businesses and schools closed, millions of employees were furloughed and - for those who were not - working from home became the new normal.

So what has happened in the first 100 days of lockdown?

What happened on day one?     cont  https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-wales-53219452

Offline SteveH

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Re: The Covid timeline
« Reply #4 on: September 17, 2020, 04:02:43 pm »
Second wave of coronavirus in Wales expected to peak around Christmas
The latest modelling suggests it will come 'significantly earlier' than in England

https://www.dailypost.co.uk/news/north-wales-news/second-wave-coronavirus-wales-expected-18948929

Online Ian

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Re: The Covid timeline
« Reply #5 on: September 17, 2020, 06:48:21 pm »
Not much of a merry Christmas, then.
Nothing is so firmly believed as that which we least know.  ― Michel de Montaigne

Si hoc legere scis, nimis eruditionis habes.

Offline SteveH

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Re: The Covid timeline
« Reply #6 on: September 18, 2020, 10:37:19 am »
Not much of a merry Christmas, then.

It won't be if selfish thoughtless behavior like this continues,  stupid.

Cluster of Welsh coronavirus cases linked to coach trip pub crawl
Some of the people on the trip from Rhondda Cynon Taf to Doncaster Races had already had tests done but were awaiting results.

https://www.dailypost.co.uk/news/north-wales-news/cluster-welsh-coronavirus-cases-linked-18953471

Offline Blongb

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Re: The Covid timeline
« Reply #7 on: September 18, 2020, 11:37:31 am »
Not much of a merry Christmas, then.

It won't be if selfish thoughtless behavior like this continues,  stupid.

Cluster of Welsh coronavirus cases linked to coach trip pub crawl
Some of the people on the trip from Rhondda Cynon Taf to Doncaster Races had already had tests done but were awaiting results.

https://www.dailypost.co.uk/news/north-wales-news/cluster-welsh-coronavirus-cases-linked-18953471


A good way to prevent such behavior would be to make them responsible for the costs other people are incurring as a result of their totally selfish and irresponsible actions.
Quot homines tot sententiae: suus cuique mos.
(There are as many opinions as there are people: each has his own view.)

Offline SteveH

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Re: The Covid timeline
« Reply #8 on: September 18, 2020, 11:39:53 am »
Mrs H just pointed this out to me, very appropriate I think.....

Offline SteveH

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Re: The Covid timeline
« Reply #9 on: March 22, 2021, 10:19:42 am »
Tomorrow marks one year since the UK went into a national lockdown on March 23, 2020.

Here are some of the key dates and statistics for the 12 months since lockdown began.

All death figures are based on the most up-to-date statistics for people who had Covid-19 recorded on their death certificate, published by the Office for National Statistics.

– March 23 2020: Boris Johnson announces a UK-wide lockdown. The UK’s cumulative Covid-19 death toll, which passed 100 on March 15, now stands at just over 1,000.

– April 2: First of 23 consecutive days when more than 1,000 daily deaths are recorded in the UK.

– April 5: Cumulative death toll passes 10,000.

– April 8: The “deadliest” day of the first wave, with 1,459 deaths occurring in the UK.

– April 17: Cumulative death toll passes 25,000.

– May 22: Cumulative death toll passes 50,000.

– June/July: Most lockdown restrictions are eased or lifted across much of the UK, though new rules – such as face masks in certain settings – are introduced and social distancing continues. Local lockdowns are imposed in some areas where cases start to rise.

Figures show the UK ended 2020 with one of the highest levels of excess mortality for people aged under 65 among countries in Europe (PA)

– June 18: The daily death toll drops below 100 for the first time since March 19. It returns above 100 on June 24 and June 25, then remains below 100 until October.

– August 29: The daily death toll drops briefly into single figures – eight deaths – for the first time since March 11.

– September/October: More local lockdowns are introduced and restrictions tightened, culminating in new levels or ‘tiers’ of restrictions across parts of UK.

– October 7: 109 deaths involving Covid-19 – the first time the daily toll has been above 100 since June 25.

 – November 18: 509 deaths involving Covid-19 – the first time the daily toll has been above 500 since May 9.

– November 25: Cumulative death toll passes 75,000.

– January 5 2021: The whole of the UK is back in lockdown, after weeks of tougher restrictions taking effect across the four nations.

– January 7: Cumulative death toll passes 100,000.

– January 19: The “deadliest day” of the entire pandemic, with 1,463 deaths occurring in the UK.

– January 26: Cumulative death toll passes 125,000.

– January 30: Anniversary of first known death involving Covid-19 in the UK.

– March 2: Cumulative death toll passes 147,000.

– March 23: One year since the start of the first lockdown.

Online Ian

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Re: The Covid timeline
« Reply #10 on: October 12, 2021, 10:06:36 am »
October 12th: the Science and Technology Committee reveals its damning assessment of the government's inept handling of the Covid crisis.

From New Scientist today:

The UK government was wrong to wait so long to implement a lockdown at the start of the covid-19 pandemic and made a “serious early error” by adopting a “fatalistic approach” to how much it could slow the spread of the coronavirus, members of parliament (MPs) say in a report published today.

Other failings highlighted by the report include the “serious mistake” of stopping community testing in March 2020, an “often chaotic” test-and-trace system and “many thousands” of deaths that could have been avoided because people who had tested positive were sent from hospitals to care homes.

The UK was also too narrowly prepared for a flu-like pandemic, according to the joint report by the 22 MPs on the Health and Social Care Committee and the Science and Technology Committee, chair Greg Clark.

The vaccine programme and test and trace schemes were mirror images, in his view. UK prime minister Boris Johnson promised the latter would be “world-beating”, but it was hamstrung by inadequate capacity at the outset due a lack of investment in public health for several years, says Clark. He says the system “seemed to stumble from crisis to crisis”, was too centralised and failed to anticipate even predictable problems such as a spike in demand for tests in September 2020 as children returned to schools.

The MPs were highly critical of the government’s response at the start of the pandemic, when Johnson appeared to pursue a strategy of “herd immunity”, before a rethink in mid-March 2020 led to a lockdown. The report concludes there was “a degree of groupthink” among government officials and its science advisers, the Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies (SAGE).

Advice to the public was clear at the start of the pandemic but became “increasingly complex and harder to understand” when the first lockdown was lifted in May 2020 and government told people to “stay alert”. By contrast, the MPs hail the vaccine programme as being one of the most effective in the world for a country the size of the UK. Of course, that wasn't administered by the government but by the NHS.

Robert West at University College London said the report’s “damning conclusion” was that failings on test and trace and the timings of restrictions led to thousands of extra deaths. “In some countries, this report would lead to resignations,” he said in a statement.

Gabriel Scally at the University of Bristol, UK, says the report was right in its criticism of the early scientific advice that SAGE had given, in part due to an absence of public health experts in early internal discussions. What is missing from the report is a focus on poor health and inequalities that existed before the pandemic, he adds.

Scally also believes the MPs are overly positive about the vaccination roll-out. After being the first country to begin administering doses, in December 2020, only 66 per cent of the UK population are now fully vaccinated, putting the UK behind European peers such as Italy and Spain. “It started early, but we’ve been overtaken by other European countries and our approach to vaccinating children has been shambolic,” he says.

Stephen Griffin at the University of Leeds says one of the shocking elements of the report is the UK’s pre-pandemic efforts focused so much on flu, despite what he says were more “relevant exemplars” similar to covid-19 in South Asian countries.

Much of the responsibility for this appalling handling, resulting in a huge loss of life, is down to the Prime Minister. Johnson has never been one to admit to being wrong, and continuously bumbles around, making speeches but in reality taking no responsibility for his utter ineptness. Historians will, I suspect, look back at this period in the UK's history as one of the most damning indictments of any government in many, many years.
Nothing is so firmly believed as that which we least know.  ― Michel de Montaigne

Si hoc legere scis, nimis eruditionis habes.

Offline SteveH

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Re: The Covid timeline
« Reply #11 on: April 02, 2022, 10:00:59 am »
Two years ago I said I was taking Covid ‘with a pinch of salt’ – perhaps I was wrong
Simon Jenkins........ Guardian reporter article 25/3/22

March 2020 was a nightmare month in the game of prediction. But I stand firm that some of my scepticism about the UK’s pandemic response may be borne out.

cont https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2022/mar/25/covid-march-2020-prediction-uk-pandemic


follow up letters to the Guardian on the 30/3/22

Examining the false narratives of Covid, two years on

cont https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/mar/30/examining-the-false-narratives-of-covid-two-years-on?IYA-mail=a05105fc-304d-4c50-9807-edab51f779a4