Author Topic: Covid 19  (Read 70134 times)

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Offline SteveH

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Re: Covid 19
« Reply #435 on: August 25, 2021, 02:01:52 pm »
Cases in care homes increased by 74%  (324) according to BBC lunch time news, not a good sign.

Bearing in mind the above.....

Pfizer and AstraZeneca vaccine protection wanes after six months, study suggests
Protection could fall to below 50% for some of the most vulnerable by winter

Protection provided by coronavirus vaccines starts to wane within six months, new research has suggested.

A reasonable worst-case scenario could see protection fall to below 50% for the elderly and healthcare workers by winter, an expert has said.

The Pfizer jab was 88% effective at preventing Covid-19 infection a month after the second dose.

READ MORE: 'Banks are not going to like this, but have to take the medicine'

But after five to six months the protection decreased to 74%, suggesting protection fell 14 percentage points in four months, latest analysis from the Zoe Covid study indicates.

With the AstraZeneca vaccine, there was a protection against infection of 77% one month after the second dose.

After four to five months protection decreased to 67%, suggesting protection fell by 10 percentage points over three months.

The study drew on more than 1.2 million test results and participants.

cont  https://www.dailypost.co.uk/news/north-wales-news/pfizer-astrazeneca-vaccine-protection-wanes-21394589

Offline SteveH

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Re: Covid 19
« Reply #436 on: August 26, 2021, 09:50:22 am »
Health minister reveals biggest concern is rising coronavirus cases in over 60s
Eluned Morgan said they were monitoring the situation ahead of the 'more difficult winter period'

"youngsters mixing was the main driver of the increase in coronavirus rates, but the small rise in rates among over 60s was giving her "more concern than anything".

She also said people now need to use common sense to determine if they should be going to places where cases are notably high.

"I think people need to now take a certain amount of responsibility themselves, they know what the dangers are. And so, how you mix and where you mix is something that individuals need to make a call on themselves,"

We are seeing a slight increase in hospital admissions, and in deaths but again, they're in line with our expectations. We are keeping an eye on things, we will continue to keep an eye on things in relation to the data, but the increases are mostly coming as a result of young people mixing. But we are seeing slight increases, and that's something that concerns me more than anything, in the older 60s so we will continue to monitor things as we enter obviously the more difficult winter period.

cont  https://www.dailypost.co.uk/news/north-wales-news/health-minister-reveals-biggest-concern-21404138


Offline SteveH

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Re: Covid 19
« Reply #437 on: August 31, 2021, 10:17:54 am »
Intensive care doctor warns hospital beds filling up with unvaccinated Covid patients
She said there was a 'steady stream' requiring critical care

An intensive care doctor has warned that higher coronavirus rates are translating into more patients needing hospital care.
A consultant, warned that the majority of those who needed ICU treatment had not been double vaccinated.

Latest Public Health Wales figures, released on Sunday, showed there were 2,357 new cases in the 24 hours to Friday and three deaths.
It is just short of the 2,383 recorded earlier this year, but the number of deaths is down compared to 40.

All eyes are on Scotland where record highs of cases have been reported in the past week.
National Clinical Director Professor Jason Leitch says it’s having an impact on patient care in some areas seeing high infection rates.

Around two thirds of cases are in the under-40 group. About 30% of Covid-related hospital admissions in the last month were also from the same age bracket.

https://www.dailypost.co.uk/news/north-wales-news/intensive-care-doctor-warns-hospital-21439616

Offline SteveH

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Re: Covid 19
« Reply #438 on: September 01, 2021, 12:39:54 pm »
Delta variant has wrecked hopes of herd immunity, warn scientists
There is no way of stopping Covid spreading through the entire population, experts tell MPs as they call for end of mass testing

Reaching herd immunity is “not a possibility” with the current Delta variant, the head of the Oxford Vaccine Group has said.

Giving evidence to MPs on Tuesday, Prof Sir Andrew Pollard said the fact that vaccines did not stop the spread of Covid meant reaching the threshold for overall immunity in the population was “mythical”.

“The problem with this virus is [it is] not measles. If 95% of people were vaccinated against measles, the virus cannot transmit in the population,” he told the all-party parliamentary group (APPG) on coronavirus.

“The Delta variant will still infect people who have been vaccinated. And that does mean that anyone who’s still unvaccinated at some point will meet the virus … and we don’t have anything that will [completely] stop that transmission.”

Although the existing vaccines are very effective at preventing serious Covid illness and death, they do not stop a fully vaccinated person from being infected by the virus that causes Covid-19.

The concept of herd or population immunity relies on a large majority of a population gaining immunity – either through vaccination or previous infection – which, in turn, provides indirect protection from an infectious disease for the unvaccinated and those who have never been previously infected.

cont https://www.theguardian.com/world/2021/aug/10/delta-variant-renders-herd-immunity-from-covid-mythical


Offline SteveH

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Re: Covid 19
« Reply #439 on: September 03, 2021, 10:02:29 am »
Pockets of vaccine refusals are digging in across North Wales as health chiefs attempt to extend the region’s jabbing programme. refDP

Everyone in the region has now been offered the jab – but Gill Harris, executive director of nursing and midwifery, said resistance and apathy is hardening.

On Tuesday, August 31, for example, 93% of people contacted refused to take up the offer of a jab.
“Our call centre staff made contact with 1,513 people to offer appointments and only 111 accepted them,” said Ms Harris.

“While we know there will be people who in these remaining pockets of the population, we will continue to encourage them to do so as we prepare to move on to the next phase of the programme.”

While Covid hospital admissions are down almost 90% compared to the second wave, infection rates are rising sharply in parts of North Wales and there is concern about the potential impact of the Bank Holiday crowds.

Proportionately, more younger people being admitted to hospital than in previous waves, coinciding with lower levels of vaccine uptake.
“We would like to repeat our appeal for everyone who is eligible to come forward and get vaccinated,” added Ms Harris.

The North Wales health board is still waiting for official advice from the Joint Committee on Vaccination and Immunisation (JCVI) on the scope of its Covid booster programme.

However the health board has drawn up a provisional plan, with the over 70s, health workers and clinically vulnerable adults due to be in the first phase.

They will be followed by over 50s and at-risk groups.

The health board has warned it will not be standard practice to deliver Covid booster jabs and Flu vaccinations at the same time.

Despite the vast complexity of the jabbing roll-out, Betsi’s vaccine wastage levels have been extraordinarily low, said Ms Harris.
“Of the one million or so doses administered by our staff, just 545 (0.05%) have been wasted because of human error,” she said.



Offline SteveH

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Re: Covid 19
« Reply #440 on: September 04, 2021, 10:29:26 am »
This is an important message, which I think a lot of people need to heed.

Professor Tim Spector, lead scientist on the ZOE COVID Study app, comments on the latest data:

“The UK has enjoyed a restriction-free summer unlike most of Europe and even though a large majority of UK adults are now
vaccinated, the rise in cases, as well as hospitalisations and deaths  is one of the highest in europe.
This is evidence that without  some restrictions COVID will continue to spread. Fully vaccinated people are getting COVID, but not only are they often unable to
spot the signs of infection due to the government’s outdated list of symptoms, we’ve seen evidence that the protection provided by
vaccines is wearing off. To help stop the spread, it’s still important for more of us to act responsibly by wearing masks in public,
particularly in crowded places, washing our hands regularly, and trying to distance ourselves from others where possible.

The sharp increase in cases in Scotland following their return to school in August is a real concern, especially as children in England and Wales are now heading back. It’s likely that England and Wales will follow suit, helped by superspreader festival events, making it ever more likely that the summer wave will continue into the autumn. The question is - how high do numbers of cases and hospitalisations have to get before we recognise that COVID-19 remains a real threat?”


full report   https://covid.joinzoe.com/post/covid-still-rising-after-restriction-free-summer

Offline SteveH

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Re: Covid 19
« Reply #441 on: September 06, 2021, 02:13:13 pm »
Covid: What Israel tells us about the way out of the pandemic

A third vaccination?
Israel is responding to the dip in protection against infection by rolling out a booster programme, offering a third jab first to over-60s and more recently to the over-40s.

The boosters for older people began to be offered just over a month ago, and they appear to be now taking effect, with hospital admissions levelling off in that group.

"This is leading to a halt in the Delta wave," Prof Segal said.
Early data suggests a tenfold increase in protection from infection and severe disease after the third jab, compared with after two.

Dr Anat Ekka Zohar, who is leading the booster programme study, said three doses were "highly protective, against both infection and severe illness".

She added: "The triple dose is the solution to curbing the current infection outbreak."

cont  https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-58432776


Offline SteveH

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Re: Covid 19
« Reply #442 on: September 08, 2021, 04:42:05 pm »
A total of 53 cases of the Mu Covid variant that displays some indications of vaccine resistance have been detected in the UK – but experts have stressed it may not pose a major threat.

Public Health England (PHE) figures released today confirmed additional cases of the strain, which was first recorded in Colombia in January and is classed as a “variant under investigation” by UK health authorities.

The World Health Organisation (WHO) has said the new variant “has a constellation of mutations that indicate potential properties of immune escape” similar to the South Africa-originating Beta variant, though it stressed any impact on vaccine resistance “needs to be confirmed by further studies”.

cont https://inews.co.uk/news/mu-covid-variant-of-interest-uk-cases-detected-vaccines-who-1186886

Offline SteveH

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Re: Covid 19
« Reply #443 on: September 09, 2021, 02:02:04 pm »
Will I get a booster jab?
About 400,000 to 500,000 people in the UK will be eligible for a third dose of vaccine, following the Joint Committee on Vaccination and Immunisation (JCVI) announcement.

This includes those with blood cancer, advanced HIV and recent organ or stem-cell transplants - who make up less than less than 1% of the population.

Health Secretary Sajid Javid said people would be contacted "as soon as possible, to discuss their needs and arrange an appointment for a third dose".

He said the separate booster programme prioritising those most at risk from Covid-19 was still planned to begin in September.

The JCVI - the scientific body advising the government on vaccines - previously said over-70s and the clinically extremely vulnerable should be included if a booster programme went ahead, as well as frontline health and social care workers.

cont  https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-55045639

Offline SteveH

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Re: Covid 19
« Reply #444 on: September 11, 2021, 10:07:05 am »
Thousands of adults in North Wales remain unvaccinated against the coronavirus.
New data revealed nearly 68000 adults and teenagers over the age of 16 in North Wales have not had their first coronavirus vaccine jab.
It comes as an expected 33.000 children age 12 to 15 years old across the region will soon be given the green light, and offered the vaccine.

The British Society for Immunology says UK governments must redouble their efforts to reach adults who are still not jabbed to encourage them to get protected against the virus.

Public Health Wales (PHW) data shows 511,785 people aged 16 and over across North Wales have received their first dose of the vaccine as of September 5.

cont  https://www.dailypost.co.uk/news/health/number-unvaccinated-adults-teens-north-21533693?IYA-reg=a05105fc-304d-4c50-9807-edab51f779a4


A hundred people could be admitted to hospital every day with coronavirus as the third wave peaks, says the First Minister.
During Friday's Welsh Government press conference, Mark Drakeford said there was a very tough period for the NHS as the virus continues to spread exponentially in Wales.

Wales Online reported how the number of cases, hospitalisations and deaths in Wales are growing rapidly at the moment but modelling suggests the third wave of the pandemic may soon peak.

In his speech, Mr Drakeford said: "If the virus continues to spread at its current rate, we can expect to see around 3,200 cases confirmed every day as this wave peaks towards the end of the month.

cont  https://www.dailypost.co.uk/news/north-wales-news/peak-third-wales-covid-wave-21539333#comments-wrapper

Offline SteveH

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Re: Covid 19
« Reply #445 on: September 12, 2021, 02:45:48 pm »
I started using Vitamin D3 and Zinc supplements, about a year ago, to aid my immune system, there was a lot of information about D3, but not so much on Zinc, however yesterday, Dr John Campbell produced a video showing various research results.

from one of the studies..........
"The study data clearly show that a significant number of COVID-19 patients were zinc deficient. These zinc deficient patients developed more complications, and the deficiency was associated with a prolonged hospital stay and increased mortality."

please note all the links are under the heading "SHOW MORE" below the title information ....

video  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yISH-sCvHXU

Offline SteveH

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Re: Covid 19
« Reply #446 on: September 13, 2021, 01:58:52 pm »
Fully vaccinated people are much less likely to die with Covid-19 than those who aren't, or have had only one dose, figures from the Office for National Statistics (ONS) show.

Out of more than 51,000 Covid deaths in England between January and July 2021, only 256 occurred after two doses.

They were mostly people at very high risk from illness from Covid-19.

The figures show the high degree of protection from the vaccines against illness and death, the ONS said.

Some deaths after vaccination were always expected because vaccines are not 100% effective - but this analysis shows they are rare.

But overall numbers were very small - they accounted for only 0.5% of all deaths from Covid-19 over the first six months of the year.

A "breakthrough death" is defined as one involving Covid-19 that occurred in someone who had received both vaccine doses, and had a first positive coronavirus test at least 14 days after the second jab.

cont https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-58545548

Offline SteveH

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Re: Covid 19
« Reply #447 on: September 14, 2021, 03:13:59 pm »
Covid booster jabs will begin to be offered across the UK from next week.

Health Secretary Sajid Javid said he had accepted advice from the JCVI that around 30m people should be offered a third dose - Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland have followed suit.

The booster should be given at least six months after a second dose - with the Pfizer jab recommended.

Those eligible include over-50s, younger adults with health conditions and frontline health and care workers.

The recommendation from the JCVI (Joint Committee on Vaccination and Immunisation) comes amid concern about waning immunity.

There are some signs protection offered by the vaccine may start dropping off several months after the second dose - with the most vulnerable groups most at risk of this.

Those eligible for a booster jab include:

Those living in residential care homes for older adults
All adults aged 50 years or over
Frontline health and social care workers
All those aged 16 to 49 years with underlying health conditions that put them at higher risk of severe COVID-19
Adult household contacts of immunosuppressed individuals


cont  https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-58550833

Offline SteveH

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Re: Covid 19
« Reply #448 on: September 15, 2021, 02:29:05 pm »
Pressure on the NHS is the main factor that would lead to tighter Covid restrictions in England, the health secretary has said.

Sajid Javid told the BBC there was not a "single trigger" for the government moving to its "Plan B" measures.
But he said how the NHS was coping was the number one issue to watch.

Government scientists have warned that there could be a large jump in Covid hospital admissions if restrictions are not tightened soon.

The Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies (Sage) said its modelling suggested hospitalisations could reach 2,000 to 7,000 per day next month.

Currently there is an average of just over 750 Covid admissions per day in England.

cont  https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-58566235

Offline SteveH

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Re: Covid 19
« Reply #449 on: September 16, 2021, 02:39:17 pm »
A couple of links for those interested in further Covid news and stats.

First page ....

SPI-M-O: Consensus Statement on COVID-19
08/9/21September 2021

Summary
1. The UK is currently experiencing high prevalence and likely entering a period of growth as
a result of changes in behaviour. It is also a time of significant uncertainty given the scope
for increased transmission after the end of the school holidays, the possibility for further
evidence to emerge on the duration of immunity against COVID-19, and several policy
areas likely to become clearer.
2. SPI-M-O groups have reflected on their modelling of Step 4 of the Roadmap, and despite
unexpected falls in cases in mid-July 2021, these scenarios can still be used to consider
the future autumn and winter trajectory. This will likely be a mixture of previous scenarios
but with delay in timing of peaks later in the year, with possibly broader, longer peaks than
those originally estimated.
3. Until uncertainties resolve and changes in transmission are fully reflected in data – likely
in three to four weeks’ time - SPI-M-O’s medium-term scenarios can be used to consider
the next couple of months. These suggest there is the potential for another large wave of
hospitalisations.
4. While the relationship between cases and hospitalisations has changed due to
vaccination, increasing cases remain the earliest warning sign that hospital admissions
are likely to rise. It also remains the case that the earlier that interventions are brought in
to curb growth, the lower prevalence is kept, reducing the direct COVID-19 burden and
reducing the risk of needing more stringent measures to quickly reduce transmission.
5. There is a clear consensus that continued high levels of homeworking has played a very
important role in preventing sustained epidemic growth in recent months. It is highly likely
that a significant decrease in homeworking in the next few months would result in a rapid
increase in hospital admissions.
6. If enacted early enough, a relatively light set of measures could be sufficient to curb
sustained growth. During a period of sustained epidemic growth, however, the more
stringent the measures introduced, the shorter the duration needed for the measures to
be in place to reduce to a given prevalence


cont  report  https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/1017129/S1376_SPI-M-O_Consensus_Statement.pdf

Informative slides  https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/1017676/2021-09-14_COVID-19_Press_Conference_Slides__for_publication_.pdf