Author Topic: Covid 19  (Read 70001 times)

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Offline SteveH

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Re: Covid 19
« Reply #345 on: February 09, 2021, 02:03:14 pm »
People aged 70 or over urged to call vaccination helpline if they have not been contacted for first jab

Telephone the vaccination helpline on 03000 840004 to arrange the appointment.

The call centre is open between 8am and 8pm and the health board has advised that the best time to call is in the late afternoon or evening when it is less busy than other times.

Those aged under 70 should continue to wait to be contacted by the NHS for their vaccination appointment.

cont   https://www.northwalespioneer.co.uk/news/19075273.people-aged-70-urged-call-vaccination-helpline-not-contacted-first-jab/

Offline SteveH

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Re: Covid 19
« Reply #346 on: February 12, 2021, 10:18:40 am »
Interesting and sobering article.

Coronavirus can mutate in every single person it infects, research into Kent strain indicates
Experts think that a single person had the virus for so long that it was able to develop 'special features'

https://www.dailypost.co.uk/news/north-wales-news/coronavirus-can-mutate-every-single-19821983


Offline Ian

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Re: Covid 19
« Reply #347 on: February 12, 2021, 11:12:52 am »
At this point it's probably worth remembering that every year most of us will catch a Coronavirus of some description, as we call them 'a cold'. It's also probable that colds would have been as deadly to us when they first appeared as Covid-19 is now.

However, one thing we've learnt is that when a pandemic occurs, vaccines can appear in under 12 months.  And there's a raft of new ones in the works to deal with possible variants:

Courtesy of New Scientist

Vaxart

THE race to develop vaccines against covid-19 got off to a flyer, but with dangerous new virus variants, stark inequalities in access to vaccines and few vaccination options for children, the world still needs all hands on deck. Last week, a virtual meeting run by the New York Academy of Sciences called The Quest for a COVID-19 Vaccine showcased the most promising new candidates.

Codagenix: A nasal spray

So far, all approved covid-19 vaccines have been injectable. Another option is a nasal spray, says Robert Coleman, CEO of biotech company Codagenix, in Farmingdale, New York.

Codagenix’s technology uses a live, but weakened, version of the coronavirus that causes covid-19 to provoke an immune response. This approach makes the company the black sheep of the vaccine community, admits Coleman. “They are the most efficacious form of vaccine, they are single dose, they provide broad and robust immunity, but most people consider them to have safety risks.”

The reason? Conventionally, such vaccines are produced by a trial-and-error process in which the virus is grown in animal cells until it acquires enough mutations to make it harmless to humans.

Viruses in such vaccines can occasionally revert back to the dangerous type and start circulating among people, setting off new waves of disease.

However, Codagenix synthesises its coronavirus genome from scratch, and introduces genetic changes that weaken the virus. The enfeebled virus can replicate sluggishly and stimulate the immune response, but doesn’t cause disease. The team believes that the genome is so heavily modified – it has 283 mutations compared with the original virus – that there is no risk of it reverting back to being dangerous. “We call it death by a thousand cuts,” says Coleman.

The vaccine is administered in a single dose dripped into the nose. It is currently in phase I trials (see “Trial phases explained“). The vaccine will also be tested on children, says Coleman.

Valneva: A whole, inactivated virus

A vaccine developed by Valneva in Saint-Herblain, France, leans on past successes by containing inactivated, whole virus, which cannot replicate but still induces an immune response.

Conventionally, such viruses are inactivated using chemicals or ultraviolet radiation. The inactivated virus is then purified, concentrated and mixed with a substance called an adjuvant, which boosts the response of the immune system. It is a venerable technology and commonly used in many flu vaccines.

They are exceptionally safe, says Thomas Lingelbach, Valneva’s CEO, so the vaccine could be given to vulnerable populations such as those at risk of an allergic reaction from other types of vaccine.

The two-shot vaccine is in phase I/II trials, with plans for testing in children.

Inovio: DNA, not RNA

Two of the first crop of covid-19 vaccines – made by Pfizer/BioNTech and Moderna – use messenger RNA (mRNA), which is injected into muscle cells. The cells then translate the RNA’s genetic code and make viral proteins that stimulate an immune response.

Both vaccines provide around 95 per cent protection against severe covid-19. But the technique has downsides, not least that the mRNA has to be kept blisteringly cold during distribution and has a short shelf life once unboxed.

That is where DNA can outperform mRNA, says J. Joseph Kim, CEO at Inovio Pharmaceuticals, in Plymouth Meeting, Pennsylvania.

Inovio has synthesised a DNA version of the coronavirus’s spike protein gene – which is made of RNA in the actual virus – and inserted it into circles of DNA called plasmids. These are blasted into the skin using a reusable “gun”. The DNA is taken up by skin cells and transcribed into mRNA, which is then translated into “massive quantities” of spike protein, says Kim, eliciting a strong immune response.

DNA vaccines don’t require frozen storage, and have a one-year shelf life at room temperature and up to five years in a refrigerator. Inovio’s vaccine only contains DNA and water, so is also less likely than some other vaccines to provoke an allergic reaction. Inovio’s two-dose vaccine is in phase II trials.

CureVac: Natural RNA

Another twist on mRNA vaccines is being developed by CureVac in Tübingen, Germany. Both of the existing RNA vaccines for covid-19 use mRNA that has been chemically modified so that it can evade the defences of the innate immune system, which degrades foreign mRNA on the (usually correct) assumption that it is from a virus. Modification is carried out by adding synthetic nucleotides, the building blocks of RNA, that aren’t found in nature.

However, these modifications dampen innate immunity. This is the first phase of the immune response and is vital to drive adaptive immunity: antibodies that learn to recognise the virus and the white blood cells called T-cells that destroy it.

CureVac uses mRNA built from naturally occurring nucleotides, stabilised in a different way. This induces a strong innate immune response as well as an adaptive one, says Stefan Mueller at CureVac.

The company is also developing a portable mRNA printer, in collaboration with Tesla, to rapidly manufacture mRNA. These printers could be taken to where the vaccine is needed and used to produce vaccines on demand.

CureVac’s vaccine is in phase III trials. The UK says it will buy 50 million doses if it is approved.

Vaxart: A vaccine pill


The campaign to vaccinate everyone is a race against time, especially as more dangerous variants of the virus emerge. According to Sean Tucker, chief scientific officer of biotech company Vaxart in San Francisco, one rate-limiting step is getting people to a vaccination centre and injecting them. His solution is to eliminate the needles.

Vaxart is at the early stages of developing a covid-19 vaccine in pill form that could be distributed by post. “The vaccine comes to you,” says Tucker.

Vaxart’s pill contains a weakened human adenovirus called Ad5 loaded with genes from the coronavirus – both the spike protein and the nucleocapsid protein, which forms the virus’s shell – plus an adjuvant. The tablets are designed to break down in the small intestine, stimulating an immune response.

CanSino Biologics: A child-friendly jab?


CanSino Biologics, in Shanghai, is developing a vaccine similar to the Oxford/AstraZeneca one.

CEO Xuefeng Yu told the conference that the vaccine is in phase III trials. The vaccine has already been administered to more than 150,000 Chinese military personnel with no reported ill effects, although there is no efficacy data because there are so few cases in China, says Yu.

As part of a phase II trial in Tiazhou, Jiangsu province, 30 children aged between 6 and 12 were given two shots. Yu says the firm is now analysing safety and immunology data.
« Last Edit: February 12, 2021, 06:29:24 pm by Ian »
Nothing is so firmly believed as that which we least know.  ― Michel de Montaigne

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Offline SteveH

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Re: Covid 19
« Reply #348 on: February 12, 2021, 11:43:03 am »
Ian, definitely a more positive note, easy to forget that every major pharmaceutical company will be working in a covid vaccine. 

Offline SteveH

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Re: Covid 19
« Reply #349 on: February 15, 2021, 12:01:10 pm »
I agree with this system, and intend to use it.

"Double masking" can increse your protection from coronavirus by 90%, according to new research from the US Centres for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC).             ref Pioneer

The study says: “Based on experiments that measured the filtration efficiencies of various cloth masks and a medical procedure mask, (clear plastic) it was estimated that the better fit achieved by combining these two mask types, specifically a cloth mask over a medical procedure mask, could reduce a wearer’s exposure by >90 per cent.”

The US’s top infectious disease expert, Dr Anthony Fauci, has recommended the practise of double masking in the past, however this is the first CDC backed research to also advise doubling up on masks.

Double masking ‘blocks 92.5% of cough particles’
The study also found that an unknotted medical procedure mask alone blocked only 42 per cent of particles from a simulated cough, and a cloth mask alone blocked 44.3 per cent.

However, the combination of the cloth mask and the medical procedure mask (clear shield) blocked 92.5 per cent of cough particles.

Speaking in a briefing from the White House Covid-19 Response Team, CDC Director Rochelle Walensky said: “In the study, wearing any type of mask performed significantly better than not wearing a mask.

“And well fitting masks provided the greatest performance at both blocking emitted aerosols and exposure of aerosols to the receiver. In the breathing experiment, having both the source and receiver wear masks modified to fit better reduced the receiver’s exposure by more than 95 per cent compared to no mask at all.”

The study says: “Universal masking is a highly effective means to slow the spread of Sars-CoV-2 when combined with other protective measures, such as physical distancing, avoiding crowds and poorly ventilated indoor spaces, and good hand hygiene.”

Double masking shouldn’t be applied to all masks however - for example, you should not double mask using two disposable masks.

The CDC says: “Disposable masks are not designed to fit tightly and wearing more than one will not improve the fit.”

Modifying masks to fit better
As well as looking into the use of double masking, the CDC also conducted research into ways to make masks fit better, and the effect that these changes has on providing extra protection.

The CDC found that “knotting the ear loops of a medical procedure mask and then tucking in and flattening the extra material close to the face” substantially “improved source control and reduced wearer exposure”.

“These experiments highlight the importance of a good fit to maximise mask performance,” the CDC states.

The study found that in lab tests with dummies, exposure to potentially infectious aerosols decreased “by about 95 per cent” when both dummies wore tightly fitted masks.

CDC guidance on choosing a mask

You should choose a mask with a nose wire, as this prevents air from leaking out the top of the mask
You should make sure that the mask fits snugly over your nose, mouth and chin
You should add layers of material to the mask, either by using a cloth mask with multiple layers of fabric, or by wearing a disposable mask under a cloth mask

   

Offline SteveH

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Re: Covid 19
« Reply #350 on: February 24, 2021, 11:55:53 am »
This BBC article might help those who work in private care and those who use cloth masks

University study finds Covid survives three days on fabric
The study by De Montfort University in Leicester tested a model coronavirus on polyester, polycotton and 100% cotton.
The results suggested polyester posed the highest risk.
Microbiologist Dr Katie Laird, who led the study, said the materials, commonly used in healthcare uniforms, posed a transmission risk.

The results showed polyester posed the highest transmission risk, with the virus still present after three days and with the ability to transfer to other surfaces...On 100% cotton, the virus lasted for 24 hours, while on polycotton, the virus only survived for six hours.

"If nurses and healthcare workers take their uniforms home, they could be leaving traces of the virus on other surfaces."

The study also looked at the most reliable wash method for removing the virus from 100% cotton fabric.

Only when detergent was used and the temperature increased to above 67°C was the virus was completely eliminated.

The study found there was no risk of cross-contamination when clean items were washed with those that had traces of the virus on.

PHE's guidance said where it was not possible for uniforms to be industrially laundered, staff should wash them at home but Dr Laird advised against this.

She said: "This research has reinforced my recommendation that all healthcare uniforms should be washed on site at hospitals or at an industrial laundry.

Full article  https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-leicestershire-56171006


Offline SteveH

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Re: Covid 19
« Reply #351 on: February 26, 2021, 10:08:24 am »
Four key risk factors accounting for two-thirds of coronavirus hospital admissions have been revealed by a new study.

The majority of Covid-19 hospital cases are attributable to at least one of these four pre-existing conditions: obesity, high blood pressure, diabetes and heart failure.

The findings are based on research conducted on the total 906,849 coronavirus hospital cases that had occurred in the US by November 18 last year.

They found that 30 per cent were attributable to obesity, 26 per cent to high blood pressure, 21 per cent to diabetes and 12 per cent to heart failure.

Lead study author Meghan O'Hearn, a doctoral candidate at the Friedman School, said: "Medical providers should educate patients who may be at risk for severe Covid-19 and consider promoting preventive lifestyle measures, such as improved dietary quality and physical activity, to improve overall cardiometabolic health.

cont  https://www.dailypost.co.uk/news/north-wales-news/four-main-risk-factors-associated-19918056



Offline SteveH

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Re: Covid 19
« Reply #352 on: March 07, 2021, 02:18:18 pm »
A bit late for most of us who have had the vaccine, but there are a few reports that for the first 8 days after inoculation, you are twice as likely to become infected, also it is over 21 days before you have a reasonable percentage of protection.

Abstract
A distinctive feature of the roll out of vaccination against SARS-CoV-2 virus in the UK was the decision to delay the timing of the second injection till 12 weeks after the first. The logic behind this is to protect more people sooner and so reduce the total number of severe infections, hospitalisations, and deaths. This decision caused criticism from some quarters due in part to a belief that a single injection may not give adequate immunity. A recent paper based on Israel’s experience of vaccination suggested that a single dose may not provide adequate protection. Here we extract the primary data from the Israeli paper and then estimate the incidence per day for each day after the first injection and also estimate vaccine effectiveness for each day from day 13 to day 24. We used a pooled estimate of the daily incidence rate during days 1 to 12 as the counterfactual estimate of incidence without disease and estimated confidence intervals using Monte Carlo modelling. After initial injection case numbers increased to day 8 before declining to low levels by day 21. Estimated vaccine effectiveness was pretty much 0 at day 14 but then rose to about 90% at day 21 before levelling off. The cause of the initial surge in infection risk is unknown but may be related to people being less cautious about maintaining protective behaviours as soon as they have the injection. What our analysis shows is that a single dose of vaccine is highly protective, although it can take up to 21 days to achieve this. The early results coming from Israel support the UK policy of extending the gap between doses by showing that a single dose can give a high level of protection.


https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2021.02.01.21250957v1

Offline SteveH

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Re: Covid 19
« Reply #353 on: March 11, 2021, 09:59:25 am »
Covid-19: Don't think pandemic is over, Whitty warns

Unlocking too quickly would lead to a substantial surge in Covid infections, the UK's chief medical adviser says.

Prof Chris Whitty told MPs that would be dangerous and risk lives among the many vulnerable people not yet protected by the vaccine.

"A lot of people may think this is all over. It is very easy to forget how quickly things can turn bad," he said.

His comments come amid pressure from backbench Tories to ease lockdown more quickly, given the drop in infections.

The Covid Recovery Group, which includes over 70 MPs, has pushed the prime minister to relax more steps, more quickly.

Appearing before the Science and Technology Select Committee, Prof Whitty said: "Under all the scenarios, if we unlock very suddenly, all the modelling suggests we would get a substantial surge while a lot of people are not protected."

In his evidence to MPs, Prof Whitty set out why, despite the impressive vaccination rollout programme, there are still many people vulnerable to the virus.

It takes about three weeks to build up immunity following the first dose of the vaccine.

So only the first four priority groups - the over-70s, health and care staff and the extremely clinical vulnerable - will have developed significant protection at the moment.

Most Covid deaths have been in these groups. But nearly half of hospital admissions have been seen in the under-70s.

And most transmission was driven by younger people, who had more social contacts, Prof Whitty said.

So the UK's policy of focusing on older age groups means it will be some time before the vaccine rollout will have a significant impact on the virus's spread.

cont  https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-56334902

Offline SteveH

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Re: Covid 19
« Reply #354 on: March 12, 2021, 10:12:36 am »
Nearly 3,500 more people could die with Covid-19 in Wales by the end of June, under a 'new reasonable worst case' scenario.

But the "most likely scenario" is around 806 fatalities, according to recent modelling by Swansea University.

However, thousands more are set to contract the virus in the coming months, even with the vaccine rollout, as restrictions are eased, the models suggest.

The modelling was presented in a Welsh Government Technical Advisory Group (TAG) report, dated February 12 2021, to help advise the response to the pandemic in Wales, which was published today.

Hundreds of scenarios were generated, taking into account a wide range of factors including, how many children were in school, how fast restrictions were eased, the vaccine effectiveness and the numbers of people sticking to the rules.

It comes amid concerns of a third Covid-19 wave across the UK and its impact, if restrictions are lifted too quickly.

cont  https://www.dailypost.co.uk/news/north-wales-news/thousands-more-could-die-covid-20074179

Offline SteveH

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Re: Covid 19
« Reply #355 on: March 17, 2021, 12:05:25 pm »
THE health board has been able to administrate more than 300,000 vaccinations, thanks to an increase in supplies.

As of March 14, Betsi Cadwaladr University Health Board (BCUHB) had delivered 317,393 total vaccinations.

Gill Harris, deputy chief executive, said: "Last week the vaccination programme ramped up significantly as GP surgery staff across the region helped us take advantage of a significant increase in vaccine supply. We simply could not deliver such a large and complex vaccination programme without their expertise.

"This week we have received a slightly reduced supply, but we remain on course to meet the Welsh Government’s target of offering vaccination to Priority Groups One to Nine by April 19, and to the rest of the eligible population by the end of July, subject to vaccine supplies."

Key information (as from March 14)

317,393 total vaccinations have been administered in North Wales
First dose vaccines – 259,918
Second dose vaccines – 57,475
Percentage of people in Priority Group Five who have received a first dose: (ages 65 to 69): 89 per cent
Percentage of people in Priority Group 6 who have received a first dose (ages 16 to 64 in an at risk group): 58 per cent
Vaccination supply for the week ahead (week commencing March 15).

BCUHB will receive 54,240 vaccines (18,720 doses of the Pfizer vaccine and 35,520 doses of AstraZeneca).
The Pfizer vaccine will again be used primarily for second doses.
This week BCUHB will continue to provide vaccination to the following groups, with invitations made by letter, text message and phone call:

People aged 65-69 years (Priority Group Five)
People aged 16-64 years in an at risk group (Priority Group Six)
People aged 60-64 years (Priority Group Seven)
Second doses within 12 weeks to those who have received their first vaccination
People in Priority Groups Six to Nine will have received their invitation for their first vaccination by April 5. Invitations will be sent by the following dates:

cont  https://www.northwalespioneer.co.uk/news/19166247.bcuhb-delivers-300-000-covid-19-vaccinations-north-wales/

Offline SteveH

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Re: Covid 19
« Reply #356 on: March 19, 2021, 01:27:16 pm »
12:41
The First Minister will give a coronavirus update at a Welsh Government briefing today.

The First Minister says that a third wave is inevitable.

"The question is not whether it will happen to us, but how it will happen to us," he said.

Its effect will depend on the success of the restrictions and the compliance of the population in following them,

Offline SteveH

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Re: Covid 19
« Reply #357 on: March 21, 2021, 10:01:17 am »
An interesting in depth article from WALESonline ................

Wales' biggest mistake in the coronavirus pandemic and the thousands who died
Why did so many more people die in the second wave of coronavirus in Wales when we knew what we faced?

We knew what we faced. As unpopular as they are, we also knew that decisive lockdown measures were the only way to stop it. And yet it happened right in front of our eyes. Cases rocketed, policies to stop that rise failed, and hospitalisations and deaths followed. By January, the NHS was in desperate crisis and 100 people were dying every two days in Wales.

The Public Health Wales data tell the story. In the six months from March 1 to August 31 there were 18,158 positive cases and 1,594 Covid deaths within 28 days of a positive test. In the second wave, between September 1 and February 28 there were 185,959 cases and 3,783 deaths.

Increased testing in the second wave might muddy the picture when it comes to tests but only one thing explains the deaths: the virus being allowed to circulate in our communities. Nor is this a case of coronavirus deaths in the first wave being missed from the statistics. The ONS figures which record all deaths with Covid-19 on the death certificate tell the same story: 2,301 deaths with the virus between March and August, 4,345 deaths with coronavirus between September and February.

Here are just some of the arguably catastrophic decisions that were made as the summer turned into autumn and led into the bleakest of winters..................https://www.walesonline.co.uk/news/wales-news/wales-biggest-mistake-coronavirus-pandemic-20220816?IYA-reg=49560bcd-5a9c-47f0-8fc5-ba2e71710589


Offline SteveH

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Re: Covid 19
« Reply #358 on: March 22, 2021, 11:26:36 am »
I know I am being pessimistic, but we will have to return to normal life very carefully., bearing in mind some of the mistakes made, as mentioned in the above article.

After just listening to the Good Morning Britain presenters telling us all to get ready for meeting our friends around a BBQ, and it won't be long before we can book our holidays abroad, and suggested Gibraltar as an example, as they have all been vaccinated ?, all very upbeat about getting back to normality, I felt it was slightly irresponsible reporting..............

On the other hand the BBC's article "Masks and social distancing could last years" brings us back down again......People may need to wear face coverings and socially distance for several years until we return to normality, a leading epidemiologist has predicted.

Mary Ramsay, the head of immunisation at Public Health England, said basic measures could be in place until other countries successfully roll out jabs.....

cont  https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-56475807


Offline Ian

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Re: Covid 19
« Reply #359 on: March 22, 2021, 11:46:33 am »
After just listening to the Good Morning Britain presenters telling us all to get ready for meeting our friends around a BBQ, and it won't be long before we can book our holidays abroad, and suggested Gibraltar as an example, as they have all been vaccinated ?, all very upbeat about getting back to normality, I felt it was slightly irresponsible reporting..............

I agree.
Nothing is so firmly believed as that which we least know.  ― Michel de Montaigne

Si hoc legere scis, nimis eruditionis habes.